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September 30, 2022 - 01:55pm
Discussion

Forecasting DMSMS

Question

Good afternoon,

I am looking for anyone who can tell me, is it possible to forecast DMSMS/Obsolescence without hiring or contracting out an entity that has a sotware program to do so? I am trying to see if we at the PM can start forecasting, without having to bring on an outside agency to pull reports for us!

I also am interested in joining the DoD WG Team Page, but I cannot find the area to register here. 
Comment
Content Author… October 5, 2022 - 04:05pm

Perhaps the Air Force Digital Transformation SharePoint site modeling tools​ can assist https://usaf.dps.mil/teams/afmcde 

Content Author… October 4, 2022 - 11:24am

It's been my experience (15+ years as logistics engineer) that the cost associated with DMSMS forecasting cell as a product office task is cost prohibitive.  I work in a product office in Aviation and Missile Command (AMCOM) and we have a service from AvMC Engineering that we use to manage our obsolesence management program.  Its a much cheaper option that trying to put together the resources required to accomplish the task effectively and it's a government owned operation.  

The U.S. Army Aviation and Missile Research, Development and Engineering Center's Obsolescence Engineering team created a system called the Multifunctional Obsolescence Resolution Environment tool-database. MORE is a government-owned engineering analytical obsolescence and DMSMS management information system, maintained by AMRDEC.

We provide the system tech data package with the indentured parts list and they utilize a massive database to track all hardware and monitor the manufacturers of the products.  It works pretty well as long as we keep the TDP updated in their system.  The challenge is that often times COTS items like chipsets or circuit card assemblies go end of life with little notice from industry and we have to scramble to resolve it.  

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