S-Curve Tool for Risk & Uncertainty Analysis

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​Generate, compare, and plot S-curves, using estimated or historically-based coefficients of variation and cost growth factors, to support cost risk analysis using Monte Carlo simulation and the enhanced Scenario Based Method.

Additional Information and References

• User Guide for the NCCA S-Curve Tool Version 1.0
  
• Technical Manual for the NCCA S-Curve Tool Version 1.0
  
• Dr Garvey's eSBM DODCAS Presentation
  
• Weapon Systems Acquisition Reform Act (WSARA) and The Enhanced Scenario-Based Method (eSBM) For Cost Risk Analysis, April 11, 2011.
  
• DoDCAS NCCA S-Curve Tool DON Service Session Presentation, February 18, 2011.
  
• https://www.ncca.navy.mil/tools/tools.cfm
  

Processes Supported

• Business Case Analysis (BCA)
• O&S Cost Estimating

Departments Associated

• Army
• Navy / Marine Corps
• Air Force
• Agencies

Integrated Product Support Elements Addressed

• Product Support Management

Disclaimer
This product support analytical tool was identified as part of a database provided solely to assist defense acquisition workforce professionals to identify best value product support solutions which optimize system readiness and life cycle cost. Neither the Department of Defense or the Defense Acquisition University provide any warranty of these tools whatsoever, whether express, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or any warranty that the contents of the item will be error-free. This analytical tools database should under no circumstances be considered as being all-encompassing, and is in no-wise meant to endorse the capabilities or products of any particular individual, company, or organization.